About this role
<p><img src="https://www.kiwirail.co.nz/assets/Careers/Photos/Seek-Aug23_900x321-a.jpg?vid=6"></p> <p> </p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Senior Analyst - Financial Modelling & Forecasting</span></strong></p> <p> </p> <p style="margin:0.0cm 0.0cm 8.0pt;line-height:107%;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:Aptos, sans-serif"><a href="https://www.kiwirail.co.nz/assets/Careers/Sarah/Senior-Analyst-Financial-Modelling-Forecasting-Ferry-Replacement-Project-PD.pdf?vid=7">Position Description</a></p> <p> </p> <ul style="margin-bottom:0.0cm;margin-top:4.0px"> <li style="margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Play a pivotal role in the <strong>Ferry Replacement Programme</strong> (FRP), with future scope expanding across KiwiRail's broader forecasting landscape</span></li> <li style="margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Apply advanced <strong>financial modelling and project management</strong> expertise to one of New Zealand's most significant infrastructure investments</span></li> <li style="margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Lead and influence through strong <strong>cross-functional stakeholder engagement</strong></span></li> <li style="margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Permanent, Auckland-based</span></strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt"> opportunity</span></li> </ul> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt">He whakamārama mo te tūranga mahi <span class="ui-provider">| About the role:</span></span></strong></p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></strong></p> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black">The <strong>Senior Analyst – Financial Modelling & Forecasting (Ferry Replacement Programme)</strong> is a high-impact specialist role at the heart of one of KiwiRail's most strategically important investments. You will design, build, and continuously evolve KiwiRail's long-range financial forecasting model, spanning the preparation and transition phase (FY27–FY29) and the future ferry operation (FY30–FY59).</span></p> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black">You will deliver fully integrated three-way financial statements (P&L, Balance Sheet, Cashflow) with robust scenario and sensitivity capability, ensuring decision-makers have the clarity and confidence needed to steer the programme. Beyond the model itself, you will lead demand analysis and forecasting across the ferry 3 businesses segments of the ferry operation, ensuring sharp commercial insights flow seamlessly into the FRP financial model, operational planning, and governance decision-making.</span></p> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%;color:black">This is a specialist leadership role for someone who combines deep analytical expertise with strong commercial judgement, and who can federate senior stakeholders and translate complex modelling outputs into clear, compelling recommendations for the ferry target business model.</span></p> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">Key accountabilities include:</span></strong></p> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <ul style="margin-bottom:0.0cm;margin-top:4.0px"> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 24.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">Develop and maintain the long-range financial model for the FRP, ensuring full integrity and internal consistency across the three-way financial statements (P&L, Balance Sheet, Cashflow) and enabling robust scenario analysis with sensitivity capabilities.</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 24.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">Define and own the FRP model update roadmap, aligned to programme milestones and governance cadence.</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 24.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">Project manage inputs from FRP stream leaders into the model, ensuring timely, accurate, and well-coordinated updates against the agreed plan.</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 24.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">Communicate modelling outputs, insights, and recommendations clearly and persuasively to governance forums and senior stakeholders.</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 24.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">Lead demand analysis and forecasting across the three ferry business segments (Rail, Commercial Vehicles, Passengers), embedding operational planning assumptions into the financial forecast and contributing to validation of the new ferry business model.</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 24.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">Integrate data from multiple sources and systems, ensuring accuracy, auditability, and alignment with broader business planning processes.</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 24.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">Partner with the Strategic Performance and Financial Controller teams to align modelling with wider business activity, including the Statement of Corporate Intent, IBP planning, Network Economics, Cash Generating Unit valuations, and inputs into KiwiRail's consolidated financial model.</span></li> </ul> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Ngā pukenga e rapu nei mātou <span class="ui-provider">| </span>What (skills) you will bring: </span></strong></p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></strong></p> <h2 style="margin:0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif;color:black"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">Knowledge and experience</span></h2> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">These are day one things that people need to do their job</span></p> <ul style="margin-bottom:0.0cm;margin-top:4.0px"> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You have demonstrated expertise in <strong>financial modelling</strong>, including integrated three-way financial statements over long-range horizons</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You have strong experience in <strong>demand analysis and forecasting</strong>, ideally within transport, logistics, or other asset-intensive industries</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You have a proven ability to <strong>lead by influence</strong>, engaging cross-functional senior leaders to shape and build a robust transition and 30-year ferry operator financial model</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You are highly proficient in <strong>Excel</strong>, with working familiarity of <strong>Power BI</strong> for data extraction and reporting</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You have hands-on experience working with <strong>multiple, imperfect data sources</strong> and building robust, auditable processes</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You have a strong <strong>commercial acumen</strong>, with a clear understanding of how demand, capacity, utilisation, pricing, and cost dynamics interact to drive business outcomes</span></li> </ul> <h2 style="line-height:115%;margin:20.0pt 0.0cm 10.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif;color:black"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">Ways of working / Work-related qualities</span></h2> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">These are how people work</span></p> <ul style="margin-bottom:0.0cm;margin-top:4.0px"> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You communicate complex information clearly and adapt your style for different audiences</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You collaborate effectively across teams and functions, supporting a positive and inclusive culture</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You take ownership of your work, demonstrate sound judgement, and proactively seek opportunities for improvement</span></li> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You are resilient and adaptive in the face of change and ambiguity</span></li> </ul> <h2 style="line-height:115%;margin:20.0pt 0.0cm 10.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif;color:black"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">Qualifications</span></h2> <p style="line-height:115%;margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You need either:</span></p> <ul style="margin-bottom:0.0cm;margin-top:4.0px"> <li style="line-height:115%;margin:3.0pt 0.0cm 3.0pt 0.0px;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%">You have a tertiary qualification in Finance, Economics, Engineering, or a quantitative discipline, or equivalent industry experience</span></li> </ul> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Nōu te rourou | What's in it for you:</span></strong></p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <ul style="margin-top:0.0cm;margin-bottom:0.0cm" type="disc"> <li style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-right:0.0cm;margin-bottom:5.0pt;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">4% KiwiSaver employer contribution</span></li> <li style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-right:0.0cm;margin-bottom:5.0pt;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">25 annual leave days</span></li> <li style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-right:0.0cm;margin-bottom:5.0pt;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Access to discounted travel, health insurance & holiday houses across NZ as part of the Staff Welfare Trust </span></li> <li style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-right:0.0cm;margin-bottom:5.0pt;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">A strong Zero Harm policy to keep you safe</span></li> </ul> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Kua rite, kia rite | Ready to Make a Difference?</span></strong></p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"> </p> <p style="margin:5.0pt 0.0cm;line-height:12.0pt;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial, sans-serif"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Rā aukati </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt">| Applications close:</span></strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt"> <strong>26 July 2026</strong></span></p>